Federer holds off feisty Fish for Cincy title

Tennis Betting Lines

08/22/2010 - Mason, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Swiss superstar Roger Federer fended off a dogged attack from American wild card Mardy Fish Sunday to win the $3 million Western & Southern Financial Group Masters tournament, a key U.S. Open Series event.

Federer, the former world No. 1, second ranked and third seed here, withstood two set tie breaks, 17 aces and 4-of-5 saved break points from Fish to come away with a 6-7 (5-7), 7-6 (7-1), 6-4 triumph on the hardcourts at the Lindner Family Tennis Center.

Federer fired 11 aces of his own and won 77 percent of his first serves en route to a fourth Cincinnati title (2005, '07 and '09-'10), joining Mats Wilander (1983-84, '86, '88) as the only players in the Open Era to win four titles here.

Making his 90th career finals appearance, Federer captured his first title since winning the Australian Open in January, while simultaneously avoiding dropping a fourth consecutive final for the first time in his career. He lost in last week's Rogers Cup final to Andy Murray.

Federer tied a pair of tennis legends along the way with career win No. 63, matching Bjorn Borg for fifth on the all-time Open Era list. The Swiss also tied Andre Agassi for second all-time with his 17th Masters 1000 crown.

Fish, meanwhile, was searching for his third title of the year and nearly made it two straight wins over Federer, having won their last meeting in the semifinals of ATP World Tour Masters 1000 Indian Wells tourney in March 2008. Federer, though, pushed his head-to-head mark against the improving American to 6-1.

The 28-year-old Fish managed to jump to No. 21 in the world rankings despite coming out on the short end. He was making his fourth finals appearance of the 2010 season.

Federer claimed $443,500 in winnings for his efforts.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.