Stewart, No. 25 USC survive Cal

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/28/2007 - Berkeley, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lodrick Stewart scored 21 points, but only three in the second half as the No. 25 Trojans squandered a 17-point lead, but held on for a 76-73 win over the rival California Golden Bears.

Nick Young scored 19 points and grabbed seven rebounds for USC (16-6, 6-3 Pac-10). Gabe Pruitt added 10 points for the Trojans, who have won three of four.

Ryan Anderson scored 19 points for Cal (12-9, 4-5). Omar Wilkes scored 14 for the Golden Bears, who have dropped three in a row. Jerome Randle added 12 points and seven assists for Cal.

Wilkes missed a long three at the buzzer, and USC survived in a game that it had all-but-locked up with 13 minutes left.

Trailing 53-36 after a Pruitt free throw with 13:11 left, the Golden Bears clamped down on defense and heated up from behind the arc. Cal outscored USC 35-18 over the next 11 minutes, finally tying the game at 71-71 on a Theo Robertson trey with 2:16 remaining.

Robertson had a chance to break the tie a minute later, but missed a pullup jumper with 1:06 left in the game. USC's Daniel Hackett hit two free throws to put the Trojans up 73-71. Cal tied the game at 73 on a Wilkes layup with 46.5 seconds left, but USC regained the lead, 75-73, after Hackett knifed through the defense for a layup with 16 ticks left.

Anderson missed a three from the top of the key with seven seconds left that would have put Cal on top, but Hackett missed one of his ensuing free throws, providing Cal with an opportunity to send the game to overtime with a three. Wilkes' desperation heave fell short, though, and USC survived.

The Trojans led 37-30 at the intermission.

Game Notes

Cal made only 2-of-7 from behind the arc in the first half, but sunk 7-of-15 in the second half...USC shot a sizzling 59 percent from the field, and made 9-of-13 from behind the arc.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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